Welcome folks! It’s time to make some choices for the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelsonnm
This week we are back at TPC Craig Ranch for the second year in a row. It’s a pretty nondescript and boring golf course. Last year, KH Lee won with a winning score of -25. Expect the same in 2022. Check out Steve’s course breakdown to see what kind of golfers we should be targeting this week.
Golfers can do whatever they want off the tee at TPC Craig Ranch. It is one of the least penalizing courses on the PGA Tour. The greens are large and relatively flat, so this is definitely a second golf course. And I target guys who can birdie in clusters. For my full card, listen to the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks Podcast on the Golf Gambling Podcast. That said, let’s go! Here are my top picks for the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.
2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks – Direct Bets
Justin Thomas – 12/1
JT hasn’t won since the PLAYERS Championship 2021. I’ll say it again. Justin Thomas. Did not win. Since the 2021 PLAYERS Championship. The PGA Championship is next week and the man needs to add majors to his resume. He should be laser focused on getting a win on the board before next week.
It’s not just a narrative street shot either. He is 2nd in the field this week from tee to green and 3rd in approach over his last 24 laps. He is also in the Top 10 of the pack in Birdies or Better % in his last 24 rounds. This is a very short absolute price, so taking a patient approach might be the best avenue. If it starts slow on Thursday, you can always go up to a better number. But Justin Thomas usually doesn’t get off to a slow start. 12/1 might be the best price we see on JT all week. Swallow your pride and choose JT at the top of your AT&T Byron Nelson 2022 betting card.
Jhonattan Vegas – 50/1
Jhonattan Vegas returned from injury last week with a vengeance. He gained over 8 shots on the field last week despite losing nearly 6 shots off the start. Vegas won more than 10 shots on the court with its approach play last week. Although he gets in trouble from time to time, I don’t think it matters at all this week.
Vegas finished 9th at TPC Craig Ranch in 2021. He should have positive vibes as he rolls off the first tee. He is also 6th in the field with his approach game and Birdies or Better % over his last 24 rounds. He is an excellent choice to win the AT&T Byron Nelson 2022.
Lanto Griffin – 66/1
Lanto Griffin is heading in the right direction. With a 15th at the Mexican Open and a T6 at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, he is heating up. Lanto’s iron game is razor sharp right now. There is no indication that it is about to slow down this week.
The weakness of his game is around the green. But if you hit all the greens in the regulations, it won’t matter, will it? It’s hyperbole, but TPC Craig Ranch produces high rates of green in regulation rates. TPC Craig Ranch is not likely to expose its weaknesses around the green. At 66/1 why not bet on a very good iron player who is moving in the right direction. Choose it on your AT&T Byron Nelson 2022 betting card.
AT&T Byron Nelson 2022 Pick – Other Accessories
Will Zalatori Top 10 – +200
Another week and another Top 10 on a player I almost bet outright. Because Justin Thomas is on my betting card at 12/1, I couldn’t justify placing a 20/1 Will Zalatoris there as well. But at +200, it will rank well in a Top 10.
Everyone loves Zalatoris this week and for good reason. He’s long, he’s great with his irons and he can rack up a ton of birdies. You already know all these things, so don’t overthink it. Pick it up for a Top 10 at a great price.
Other Top 10 to consider
- Tommy Fleetwood – +325
- Talor Gooch – +400
- Seamus Power – +450
Sahith Theegala Top 20 – +300
This kid is so easy to deal with. And his game seems to be resuming an upward trend. Like any rookie, they experience ups and downs in their first season. And after a difficult period, he could tighten his game. Theegala won more than four strokes with his ball strike in his last start at the Mexican Open. I think he continues this week on an indulgent golf course. It’s stuck for a top 20 pick on my AT&T Byron Nelson 2022 betting card.
Aaron Wise -1.5 hits (-110) on Matt Kuchar
I also considered betting on Aaron Wise this week. But it will only appear in this match on my betting card.
I bet Kuchar in the Top 20 last week and he absolutely stank. While he can get hot with his putter, I don’t think he’s a perfect fit for the TPC Craig Ranch. Meanwhile, Wise is a stallion and played excellent at the Mexican Open. He’s also Top 10 tee-to-green from the field and Top 15 approach in his last 24 rounds. Don’t think about it too much. Choose the Young Stallion over the Old at the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.