One of the biggest indicators of potential breakout candidates are individuals who play big snaps, big target shares, or a lot of carries but haven’t put in the huge numbers yet.
We’ll publish the NFL Fantasy Football Opportunity Report weekly with information on players you might want to target or ignore. In this article, we identify instant splits, target splits, and splits to help you understand how the fantasy football landscape changes over the season.
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Fantasy Football: Week 1 Instant Share Report
Do we want RBs in Buffalo?
It looks like Singletary is the main back but still not interested as he played 59% of the snaps and finished with ten opportunities in total (8 carries and two targets). I expect Cook’s use to increase after his second-quarter fumble; He was nowhere to be found. He only played three snaps. That said, the volume isn’t enough to trust, and I recommend avoiding the backfield.
Gabriel Davis is in the field for almost every game, but Stefan Diggs is always the clear alpha. While Gabriel Davis played 98% of snaps to Diggs 64%, Diggs demanded almost 30% target share against one of the best corners in the game in Jalen Ramsey. I will say, however, that the airyards belong to Gabe, averaging 16 airyards per target.
Everyone was waiting to see Cam Akers beginning. He didn’t, and Henderson dominated the game with an 82% snap share and 81% RB touches. Cam Akers is on hold until we see more information. I wouldn’t recommend freaking out selling Akers, but if you can get Henderson without paying too much, I would suggest it.
Cordarrell Patterson is probably one of the top 15 RBs in races. He set career highs in runs and yardage, was in the field 65% of plays and made 22 of 26 running back runs. Olamide Zaccheus playing 60% share, plays more Bryan Edwards. I think it’s time we got away from him.
Start your engines
Nick Chubb and hunt kareem are the two locks for your lists each week. Hunt will continue to see receiving work, and the rushing split will remain around 65/35. They will continue to produce in the top 15 backs.
Donovan Peoples Jones appears to be the second option in passing offense with 82% instant share and 37% target share.
Detroit is improving
Detroit’s backfield looks somewhat messy, with Swift getting 54% for jamal williams 39% carries the share, but Swift played 67% against Williams 33%. It was clear in this game that Swift was much more explosive and the better player. I would recommend not going overboard for Williams as I think we are seeing more of what happened last year where Williams fell after Week 1.
Most wondered who the second option would be after the offseason. Chark DJ officially took this role with 81% instant share and 22% target share in week 1.
Always muddy in New England
In an offseason where the fantasy football community was crying out for Rhamander Stevenson, there was a pretty big disappointment on Sunday. The split was essentially 50/50 between him and Damien Harris, with Harris getting nine carries to Stevenson’s 8. Harris also had more receptions. With the offense not playing well and looking like a defensive coordinator calling plays, sorry, I would avoid playing these guys until some additional clarity is provided.
Devante Parker played 100% of the snaps but only received 7% of the target share. Don’t fade; manufacturing will come.
The new recruit phenomenon of Dameon Pierce didn’t materialize in a very interesting game against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. Rex Burkhead overshot (71% to 29%), overshot (50% to 39%) and overshot Dameon on his rookie debut. I wouldn’t panic, but this is currently screaming; wait for them to end up in your range again.
Clear Florida Water
Miami’s backfield was a big question heading into the season with a few new additions in Chase Edmonds and Rahim Mostert. We got some clarity in a roughly 60/40 instant split between Chase and Raheem. Edmonds also passed Mostert at 16-6. Edmonds is the clear back to own here.
Not such a breeze
Everyone wanted to forget james robinson. Everyone wanted to ignore Doug Pederson when he explained that Robinson would be the leader. He is, and Etienne will be relegated to receiving work that will be valuable but not Kamara-esque as we had hoped.
Christian Kirk finished with a whopping 32% target share and delivered with a solid stat line of 6 receptions for 117 yards. With his uses, he should be a WR2 for the rest of the season.