After a weekend without a UFC event, the MMA gods not only blessed us with a great card on Saturday. We also get a load of midweek super MMA. After Contender Series on Tuesday, Invicta FC 49 arrives on AXS TV on Wednesday. The card is headlined by a thrilling atomic weight tilt, but there are plenty more fights that keep us going.
Invicta FC 49 – Picks and Games
Atomic Weight: Jessica Delboni (-455) vs. Jillian DeCoursey
The main event is the chalkiest game on the map. However, the line isn’t enough to get me excited about the underdog. Jillian DeCoursey, usually a grappling specialist, booked this fight with a big knockout of Lindsey VanZandt. It seems fairly unlikely that DeCoursey will have the same success against Jessica Delboni. The champ has better distance control than DeCoursey’s last dance partner. She also showed more than adequate wrestling in her title defense against Alesha Zappitella. All of which leads me to believe that Delboni will outplay DeCoursey on the feet for the better part of five rounds at Invicta FC 49.
Flyweight: Maiju Suotama (+245) vs. Ketlen Souza
I know it sounds crazy to date a huge dog like this who hasn’t won since 2017. Hear me out on that Invicta FC 49 co-main.
Maiju Suotama has insane timing strength. She fought Lucie Pudilova, Miesha Tate, Shanna Young and Aisling Daly. All of these women have fought in the UFC. Plus, you can add a Contender series veteran to her mix with Lucrezia Ria. Not only did she fight all of those women, but she had her moments in a lot of those fights. Most notable is the solid takedowns she scored on Lucie Pudilova.
Souza ends most of his fights with his hands. However, I don’t know how lucky she will be to use them. Suotama moves well and I think she gets enough takedowns to score a big upset.
Strawweight: Liz Tracy (+185) against Valesca Machado (Tina Black)
Liz Tracy is perhaps my favorite play in all of Invicta FC 49. She’s a relentless wrestler with some really good skills on the mat. She submitted Gillian Robertson at a Submission Underground event, which honestly isn’t even her most notable wrestling victory.
As Tracy’s hands trail a bit behind what she does on the mat, the path to victory is clear. Tina Black has had huge issues with her takedown defense in the past. On Contender Series, she gave up three takedowns en route to a nasty loss to Piera Rodriguez.
InvictaFights strawweights are ready to crash and @MeganAnderson is here to break up the battle between Liz Tracy and Brazilian Valesca Machado!#InvictaFC49 | Wednesday September 28 | LIVE at 8/7c on @axstv + @fightnet + @Facebook + @Youtube! pic.twitter.com/GZ7SFCjUvh #wmma
— #EvolveWMMA (@thewmma) September 25, 2022
Flyweight: Hannah Guy (-150) vs. Kaytlin Neil
Invicta FC 49 also features a fight between two women from TUF’s final season. Kaytlin Neil may have advanced on the show, but showed real weaknesses there. Against eventual winner (and now Hannah Guy’s sparring partner), Julianna Miller, she was outplayed on the mat.
Guy already had an edge in this area, but she also seems to have revamped her training considerably. She’s now working with Alan Belcher and brought in the aforementioned Miller to prep her. Expect Guy to bring this to the mat early and show it off once he’s there.
Flyweight: Helen Peralta (+125) vs Poliana Botelho
Poliana Botelho has never been the type of UFC fighter to pull off a decisive victory. She wasn’t one to really work her opponent or wear them out. Although she’s mastered just about every part of the game, she’s never really been able to impose her will on a fighter to make them fight the way she wants.
That’s a huge problem at Invicta FC 49. If you don’t get Helen Peralta to fight in the clinch or on the mat, she’s going to charge big right hands until she knocks you out. That’s part of why she loved bare-knuckle boxing so much. I think she plays on Botelho here.
— UFC FIGHT PASS (@UFCFightPass) January 14, 2018
If you want even more information on these Invicta FC 49s, be sure to check out the MMA Game Podcast. Gumby and Jeff come to your ears four times a week to give you all the knowledge you need to be the smartest guy in the bar.