Tiny Nick Game Pick: 4/06

Locks

NBA (1 unit) Washington Wizards/Atlanta Hawks First Half Over 119 (-110): 7:00 p.m. CT on Bally Sports SE

If the Wizards shoot like they did last night in Minnesota, they can shoot any game or half the total. They did it against a Wolves team with the 3rd best defensive efficiency at home, and now they’re visiting an Atlanta team ranked 26th in that category. It’s also a restless game for both teams, and with both being strong on betting in such places this season, I expect plenty of points tonight.

But I see the majority of those points coming early, as they have in all of their games this season. While all three encounters surpassed their respective totals, none of them erased tonight’s full game count. But the first halves went 2-0-1 at that number, averaging 123 points and more points before halftime than after in every game. While that number is more than half of the full game total, trends and back-to-back spots tell me there’s a lot of value on top.

degenerate

No degenerate today.

Tiny Nick is 669-547 ATS (+78.1 units) on his locks since joining Zone Coverage.

Each day it will offer its Locks and Degenerate choices. The locks are the games he trusts. Degenerates are fun but riskier choices.


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